- who pays
- Readers. Bookmakers never do.
- what we sell
- The reasoning, not a pick.
- the record
- Every Probability graded in public.
CS2 · before the lock
The context that has not reached the price yet.
One Dossier per CS2 match: a win Probability, the three Drivers behind it, and every Flag with its source and its timestamp. Graded in public afterwards, whichever way it went.
Forty minutes of tabs, or two minutes on one page.
People lose money to information lag, not to bad math. A stand-in lands 25 minutes before a Bo3 and the price moves before the reader does. This is the order it happens in here.
- 01
You land on the Dossier for tonight's series
One page per upcoming CS2 match, live before the odds settle. No account, no configuration, no game to choose.
- 02
The Flags are open to everyone
Stand-ins, dead rubbers, a third series in 30 hours, veto history against this exact opponent. Each with its source and the time we read it.
- 03
The Probability and its three Drivers sit behind an Event Pass
€19.00 once, tied to one named tournament, every Dossier and every Flag alert for its full run. No renewal.
- 04
After the series we grade the number
Right or wrong, it joins Calibration with its date. When a Driver was wrong, the Dossier says which one and why.
A number, the three facts that produced it, and where each one came from.
This is the whole product: one page per series, opened at 19:40 with a match at 20:00. Nothing on it that you cannot trace to a source.
NAVI vs Vitality
- 71%
- 8 points
- after the series
- 01
NAVI have taken 6 of their last 7 maps on Mirage, and Vitality's veto leaves Mirage in against this opponent.
- 02
Vitality play their third series in 30 hours after a late finish and an overnight flight from Cologne.
- 03
NAVI are already through to the semi-final, so the series is a dead rubber for seeding only.
- hardStand-in confirmedVitality field a stand-in in the entry role; the regular rifler is out ill.
- hardThird series in 30 hoursLate finish at 01:40, travel at 07:00, no practice block since.
- mediumDead rubber for NAVIAlready qualified. Seeding is the only thing on the table.
- lowVeto historyMirage has survived the veto in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
| Mirage | Survives the veto | 4 of 5 |
| Ancient | NAVI ban | 5 of 5 |
| Nuke | Vitality pick | 3 of 5 |
The record starts empty, in public, and stays there.
Tipster channels delete the bad month. Every Probability the desk publishes is graded and kept, with its date, on one page anyone can read.
- 0
- —
- —
Called Vitality 63%. Vitality lost 0–2. Driver 2 was wrong: the stand-in played the anchor role, not entry.
One payment, one tournament.
Readers pay the desk, so nobody else has to be kept happy. The terms in full, before anyone is asked for anything.
- Event Pass
- €19.00
- One named tournament, start to final
- Every Dossier, every Flag alert
- None. It ends with the event.
- In full if the event is cancelled. Not on results.
Questions a sceptic asks.
- Do you sell picks?
- No. The desk publishes a Probability and the three facts under it. The decision stays with the reader, always.
- Why should we believe the number?
- Because you can check it. Every Probability is graded after the match and the running record is a public page.
- Where does the data come from?
- Public fixtures, the Liquipedia API under attribution, and team and tournament announcements. Each fact on a Dossier is labelled and timed.
- Which games are covered?
- CS2 only, for now. Dota 2 follows the majors calendar, then League of Legends and Valorant.