e-verything
Slate/

BLAST Premier Open Porto 2026

G2 vs Natus Vincere

Bo3 · starts

Group A — lower bracket, round 2. Loser is out of Porto

Ranks: G2 11 · Natus Vincere 6

Probability — Natus Vincere
56%
model base
60%
adjustment
-4 points
consensus
not sourced
graded
after the series

Ranks from Valve Regional Standings as published on the blast.tv match pages, read 29 Aug 2026. The model in full

Drivers
  1. 01

    NAVI rank 6th and G2 11th, so the standings alone open the series at 60% and this is the closest tie on the 30 Aug Slate.

    Valve Regional Standings, blast.tv match pages · read 29 Aug, 13:50 UTC

  2. 02

    NAVI were beaten 1-2 by M80, ranked 36th, in their opening Bo3, which costs them four points.

    blast.tv bracket, Group A · read 29 Aug, 13:50 UTC

  3. 03

    G2 lost 0-2 to Spirit, the top-ranked side in the world, so the model reads that defeat as no evidence and moves the number by nothing for it.

    blast.tv bracket, Group A · read 29 Aug, 13:50 UTC

Adjustments applied
  • -4NAVI lost 1-2 to M80, ranked 36th, in their opening Bo3 here on 26 Aug. The model takes four points off a side beaten by an opponent thirty places below it at this event.

This match has started. The Probability locked at the published start time and is now free to read.

Flags — 4, in severity order
free to everyone
  • hard
    Elimination match
    Both sides dropped out of the upper bracket. The loser is out of Porto.
    blast.tv bracket · read 29 Aug, 13:50 UTC
  • medium
    NAVI already lost to a 36th-ranked side here
    M80 beat NAVI 2-1 on 26 Aug. NAVI recovered with a 2-0 over paiN, but the opening result stands on the record.
    blast.tv bracket · read 29 Aug, 13:50 UTC
  • low
    G2 roster settled since June
    r1nkle is G2's most recent addition and joined in June 2026. No change or stand-in is reported for this event.
    eGamersWorld, read 29 Aug · read 29 Aug, 13:50 UTC
  • low
    No stand-in reported on either side
    The desk found no substitute, coach absence or illness report for either roster in the last seven days.
    Desk check across blast.tv, Liquipedia and search · read 29 Aug, 13:50 UTC
Form — sourced results at this event
  • Natus Vincere

    Lost 1-2 to M80 in the quarter-final on 26 Aug, then beat paiN 2-0 in lower bracket round 1 on 28 Aug.

  • G2

    Beat Aurora 2-0 in the quarter-final on 26 Aug, then lost 0-2 to Spirit in the semi-final on 28 Aug.

Head-to-head — 2026, current lineups

No 2026 meeting sourced. The number carries no head-to-head term.

Veto history — this pairing

Veto history unavailable. No per-team veto log for this event could be sourced, and the desk does not fill a gap with a guess. One pool fact is sourced: Cache replaced Overpass in the Active Duty pool on 6 Jul 2026 (HLTV, read 28 Aug).

Start time

This series starts at 11:30 UTC. The desk had it four hours earlier until 29 Aug: blast.tv and Liquipedia publish this event's clock as UTC-4, and we had read those numbers as UTC. Every start time on the desk is corrected. Confirmed against the blast.tv match page, read 29 Aug, 13:50 UTC.

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The Briefing

Every match day, 09:00. What changed, tonight's Slate, the widest gap.

Nothing new since 29 Aug, 13:50 UTC. The desk never fills a gap with a guess.