e-verything
Slate/

BLAST Premier Open Porto 2026

Legacy vs Team Falcons

Bo3 · starts

Group B — upper bracket semi-final. Winner to the upper bracket final

Ranks: Legacy 7 · Team Falcons 2

Probability — Team Falcons
65%
model base
70%
adjustment
-5 points
consensus
not sourced
graded
after the series

Ranks from Valve Regional Standings, 24 Aug 2026 snapshot (Liquipedia). The model in full

Drivers
  1. 01

    Team Falcons are ranked 2nd and Legacy 7th in the 24 Aug Valve Regional Standings, which opens the model at Falcons 70%.

    Valve Regional Standings (Liquipedia), 24 Aug snapshot · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC

  2. 02

    Legacy beat Falcons 2–0 at the Esports World Cup on 21 Aug, so the model gives five points back to Legacy for a sourced win over this exact opponent inside ten days.

    Liquipedia, Esports World Cup 2026 · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC

  3. 03

    Both arrive unbeaten from the opening round — Legacy 2–0 over FUT Esports, Falcons 2–1 over Lynn Vision — and Falcons needed three maps to get there.

    blast.tv results, Group B · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC

Adjustments applied
  • -5Legacy beat Falcons 2–0 at the Esports World Cup on 21 Aug, a sourced win over this exact opponent inside the last ten days.

This match has started. The Probability locked at the published start time and is now free to read.

Flags — 4, in severity order
free to everyone
  • medium
    Head-to-head reversal, eight days old
    Legacy 2–0 over Team Falcons at the Esports World Cup on 21 Aug, the only sourced 2026 meeting.
    Liquipedia · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC
  • medium
    Winner takes the upper bracket final
    Neither side is eliminated by a loss here; the loser drops a round.
    blast.tv bracket · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC
  • low
    Falcons dropped a map in round one
    2–1 over Lynn Vision, ranked outside the sourced top 25, on 27 Aug.
    blast.tv results · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC
  • low
    Start time unlabelled at source
    blast.tv publishes 12:30 with no timezone label, corroborated by Flashscore. Read here as UTC.
    blast.tv, Flashscore · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC
Form — sourced results at this event
  • Legacy

    Beat FUT Esports 2–0, 27 Aug, opening Bo3 of Group B

  • Team Falcons

    Beat Lynn Vision 2–1, 27 Aug, opening Bo3 of Group B

Head-to-head — 2026, current lineups
21 Aug 2026Esports World CupLegacy 2–0
Veto history — this pairing

Veto history unavailable. No per-team veto log for this event could be sourced, and the desk does not fill a gap with a guess. One pool fact is sourced: Cache replaced Overpass in the Active Duty pool on 6 Jul 2026 (HLTV, read 28 Aug).

Start time

This series starts at 16:30 UTC. The desk had it four hours earlier until 29 Aug: blast.tv and Liquipedia publish this event's clock as UTC-4, and we had read those numbers as UTC. Every start time on the desk is corrected. Confirmed against the blast.tv bracket, read 29 Aug, 13:50 UTC.

Save your access

Your pass works in this browser already. To read it on another device, ask for a one-tap link with the address you paid with.

Send me a link
The Briefing

Every match day, 09:00. What changed, tonight's Slate, the widest gap.

Nothing new since 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC. The desk never fills a gap with a guess.