e-verything
Slate/

BLAST Premier Open Porto 2026

Graded — the desk was wrong
called 9z Team 58% · result Team Vitality 2–0

Called 9z Team 58%. Vitality won 2–0, taking Dust II 13–2 and Nuke 13–6. The stand-in adjustment was wrong: jL cost Vitality nothing, so the four points the model took off should have stayed. Source: Liquipedia, read 29 Aug, 13:48 UTC.

This series is finished, so the whole Dossier below is free to read. Every graded call is on the Calibration record.

Team Vitality vs 9z Team

Bo3 · played

Group B — lower bracket, round 1. Loser is out of Porto

Ranks: Team Vitality 5 · 9z Team 4

Probability — Team Vitality
42%
model base
46%
adjustment
-4 points
consensus
not sourced
graded
called wrong

Ranks from Valve Regional Standings, 24 Aug 2026 snapshot (Liquipedia). The model in full

Drivers
  1. 01

    9z sit one place above Vitality in the 24 Aug Valve Regional Standings, so the model opens the series close to even at 46%.

    Valve Regional Standings (Liquipedia), 24 Aug snapshot · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC

  2. 02

    Vitality play jL as a stand-in for mezii at this event, which costs the side four points in the model.

    HLTV, jL confirmed as Vitality stand-in · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC

  3. 03

    The two split their 2026 meetings: Vitality 2–0 in Rotterdam on 19 Mar, 9z 2–1 at the IEM Cologne Major Swiss stage, so head-to-head moves the number by nothing.

    Liquipedia and HLTV match pages · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC

Adjustments applied
  • -4Vitality field jL as a stand-in for mezii at this event; the model takes four points off a side playing a substitute in a core role.

This match has started. The Probability locked at the published start time and is now free to read.

Flags — 4, in severity order
free to everyone
  • hard
    Stand-in confirmed
    jL replaces mezii in the Vitality lineup for this event, and again at PGL Masters Bucharest.
    HLTV · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC
  • hard
    Elimination match
    Both sides lost their opening Bo3 in Group B. The loser leaves the event.
    blast.tv bracket · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC
  • medium
    Both sides beaten already
    Vitality lost 0–2 to Inner Circle, 9z lost 0–2 to MOUZ, both on 27 Aug.
    blast.tv results · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC
  • low
    Start time unlabelled at source
    blast.tv publishes 05:00 with no timezone label. Read here as UTC.
    blast.tv · read 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC
Form — sourced results at this event
  • Team Vitality

    Lost 0–2 to Inner Circle, 27 Aug, opening Bo3 of Group B

  • 9z Team

    Lost 0–2 to MOUZ, 27 Aug, opening Bo3 of Group B

Head-to-head — 2026, current lineups
19 Mar 2026RotterdamVitality 2–0
2026, exact date not sourcedIEM Cologne Major, stage 3 Swiss9z 2–1
Veto history — this pairing

Veto history unavailable. No per-team veto log for this event could be sourced, and the desk does not fill a gap with a guess. One pool fact is sourced: Cache replaced Overpass in the Active Duty pool on 6 Jul 2026 (HLTV, read 28 Aug).

Start time

This series starts at 09:00 UTC. The desk had it four hours earlier until 29 Aug: blast.tv and Liquipedia publish this event's clock as UTC-4, and we had read those numbers as UTC. Every start time on the desk is corrected. Confirmed against the blast.tv bracket, read 29 Aug, 13:50 UTC.

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The Briefing

Every match day, 09:00. What changed, tonight's Slate, the widest gap.

Nothing new since 28 Aug, 13:20 UTC. The desk never fills a gap with a guess.